In May 2025, the UK retail sector witnessed a slowdown as consumer spending growth decelerated. According to the British Retail Consortium (BRC)-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor, total retail sales only saw a modest 1% year-on-year increase. Food sales performed better compared to non-food categories, with an impressive 3.6% rise driven by events like football tournaments and bank holidays that boosted barbecue and picnic-related purchases. However, non-food sales declined by 1.1%, reflecting lower consumer confidence, especially in fashion and big-ticket items. Online non-food sales also contracted by 1.5%, contrasting sharply with the previous year's growth.
During the period from May 4th to May 31st, food sales surged due to favorable seasonal conditions and social activities such as barbecues and picnics, which were encouraged by public holidays. In contrast, non-food sales experienced a decline both in-store and online. The in-store non-food sales dropped by 0.9%, while online sales decreased by 1.5%. This trend suggests a stabilization in the proportion of non-food purchases made online, remaining steady at 35.9%. Retailers are under significant financial strain, facing additional costs amounting to £5 billion due to higher National Insurance contributions and wages since April. Furthermore, new packaging taxes expected later this year could add another £2 billion in expenses.
The Employment Rights Bill has also raised concerns about its potential impact on retailers' ability to maintain jobs and invest in their workforce. Despite these challenges, there is optimism regarding travel demand as summer approaches, potentially boosting sales in June for travel-related products.
Shopper confidence improved slightly in May, rising by five points according to the Institute of Grocery Distribution CEO Sarah Bradbury. However, underlying financial uncertainties persist, with consumers continuing to adopt cost-saving strategies like buying promotional items. Although there is cautious optimism, meaningful shifts in spending behavior have yet to materialize.
From a journalist's perspective, the current state of the UK retail sector highlights the complex interplay between economic pressures and evolving consumer habits. Retailers must navigate increasing operational costs while adapting to shifting preferences towards value-driven purchases. The data underscores the importance of understanding consumer motivations and leveraging upcoming opportunities like summer travel demand. Policymakers play a crucial role in ensuring regulations support both worker rights and business sustainability. As the industry continues to transform, retailers who can effectively balance cost management with customer engagement will likely emerge stronger in this challenging yet dynamic environment.